Is Android’s growth near it’s peak? IDC thinks so

The speedy success of Android has been mind boggling, but nothing lasts forever. IDC is reporting that things will slow down this year and 2012 will actually mark the peak for Android. The good news is that it will continue to to be the market leader for the next five years.

I know this may sound depressing to Android Fan Boys, but lets look at the fact that Android is projected to have a 61% market share for 2012. Realistically how much higher can it go? With Apple taking 20.5%, you can’t expect them to drop much and the rest of the group (Windoes, BlackBerry, etc) probably will continue to hold their own. BlackBerry could drop even more, but Windows is likely to gain some market share even though it has been dismal lately. With Nokia’s partnership just beginning and Windows 8 on the horizon, it is expected they will make some noise.

So, yes maybe Google could have some more growth, but realistically how much? Whether they top at 61% or 65%, the fact is that things have to slow down, and it will more likely take place this year or early 2013.

IDC expects Android to have a 52.9% market share by 2016 while Windows takes the second spot at 19.2% and Apple not far behind with 19.0%. I’m not shocked at Android sliding a little, but a little surprised with Windows taking the second spot even though the numbers are close. What do you guys think?

source: IDC

About the Author: Robert Nazarian

Robert lives in upstate New York where he was born and raised. Technology was always his passion. His first computer was a Radio Shack TRS80 Color that used a cassette tape to save programs, and his first laptop was a Toshiba T1200FB that sported a CGA greyscale screen and two 720kb floppy drives (no hardrive). From the early 90’s through late 2011, he only owned Motorola phones starting with the MircroTAC all the way through to the Droid X. He broke that streak when he bought the Galaxy Nexus. Now he's sporting a Galaxy Note 4, and absolutely loves it. He has a wonderful wife and a 6 year old son. In his free time he enjoys sports, movies, TV, working out, and trying to keep up with the rapid fast world of technology.

  • Jordan Hotmann

    I don’t see Windows gaining that much smartphone share…even with nokia on its side and win8 on the way…people just don’t want a windows phone (nothing against the OS, it’s great but not as good as Android).

    • Adasd

      I totally agree. Blackberry is dead also.

    • damy

      Actually the people that have a windows phone are very happy with it. It is as smooth as an iPhone (my Android with same specs as a Lumia 800, just cannot tip that) and there probably going to be some serious competitors for wp8. So yes, I can imagine that they will grow some more.

  • Emil Johansson

    I am convinced it will grow more. Time will tell.