The speedy success of Android has been mind boggling, but nothing lasts forever. IDC is reporting that things will slow down this year and 2012 will actually mark the peak for Android. The good news is that it will continue to to be the market leader for the next five years.
I know this may sound depressing to Android Fan Boys, but lets look at the fact that Android is projected to have a 61% market share for 2012. Realistically how much higher can it go? With Apple taking 20.5%, you can’t expect them to drop much and the rest of the group (Windoes, BlackBerry, etc) probably will continue to hold their own. BlackBerry could drop even more, but Windows is likely to gain some market share even though it has been dismal lately. With Nokia’s partnership just beginning and Windows 8 on the horizon, it is expected they will make some noise.
So, yes maybe Google could have some more growth, but realistically how much? Whether they top at 61% or 65%, the fact is that things have to slow down, and it will more likely take place this year or early 2013.
IDC expects Android to have a 52.9% market share by 2016 while Windows takes the second spot at 19.2% and Apple not far behind with 19.0%. I’m not shocked at Android sliding a little, but a little surprised with Windows taking the second spot even though the numbers are close. What do you guys think?